The VP Advantage How Running Mates Influence Home State Voting in Presidential Elections 1st Edition by Christopher Devine,Christopher Devine ,Kyle C Kopko ISBN 1784993379 978-1784993375

The VP Advantage How Running Mates Influence Home State Voting in Presidential Elections 1st Edition by Christopher Devine,Christopher Devine ,Kyle C. Kopko – Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery:1784993379 978-1784993375
Full download The VP Advantage How Running Mates Influence Home State Voting in Presidential Elections 1st Edition after payment

Product details: 

ISBN 10:1784993379

ISBN 13:978-1784993375

Author:Christopher Devine,Christopher Devine ,Kyle C.Kopko 

A widespread perception exists among political commentators, campaign operatives and presidential candidates that vice presidential (VP) running mates can deliver their home state’s electoral votes in a presidential election. In recent elections, presidential campaigns have even changed their strategy in response to the perceived VP home state advantage. But is the advantage real? And could it decide a presidential election? In the most comprehensive analysis to date, Devine and Kopko demonstrate that the VP home state advantage is actually highly conditional and rarely decisive in the Electoral College. However, it could change the outcome of a presidential election under narrow but plausible conditions. Sophisticated in its methodology and rich in historical as well as contemporary insight, The VP Advantage is essential and accessible reading for anyone interested in understanding how running mates influence presidential elections.

Table of contents:

1. After being elected the first vice president of the United States, John Adams embarked upon a week-long journey from his home in Braintree, Massachusetts, to the nation’s then-capital, New York City, on the picturesque spring day of April 13, 1789. The 54-year old Adams, who had contributed so greatly to the government of his state and the birth of a new nation, was treated to a “hero’s send-off” by the people of his state and his region – punctuated by cannon salutes, municipal awards, and the gift of a locally manufactured brown broadcloth inaugural suit – as he traveled ceremoniously…

    

   The perception of a vice presidential home state advantage remains widespread among a range of important actors – including journalists, campaign insiders, and presidential candidates – who influence or potentially influence the vice presidential selection process. How do we know this is the case? In this chapter, we present content analysis of public commentary from each set of actors that demonstrates the significant role home state considerations play in their evaluations of vice presidential contenders – even among individuals who, like Stuart Rothenberg and Chris Cillizza in the previous chapter, purport to discount the relevance of such considerations. In presenting…

    

   Demonstrating that the perception of a vice presidential home state advantage (HSA) is pervasive in American politics, as we do in the previous chapter, is not the same as demonstrating that itmattersin terms of influencing actual campaign decisions. Does the perception of a vice presidential HSA, in fact, influence campaign behavior? Or is it merely a curiosity, the remnant of what was once – and is no longer – a topic relevant to understanding presidential politics? To answer these all-important “so what?” questions, in this chapter we present systematic analyses of: (1) the vice presidential selection process; and,…

2. tate advantage (HSA) is alive and well in contemporary American politics. But is it a reality?Dovice presidential candidates enjoy an electoral advantage in their home state, after all? How does one measure the vice presidential HSA, anyway? How big (or small) is it, on average? And does the advantage apply to all vice presidential candidates in equal measure, or does it vary depending on candidate and state characteristics? If the latter, then which characteristics matter (most)? Our objective in this chapter is to answer these vital research questions, on an empirical…

    

   In 2008 Mississippi was the poorest state in the nation, with a median income of $36,446 – $1,500 lower than the next poorest state (West Virginia), and nearly half that of the wealthiest state (New Hampshire).¹ Mississippi was also a strongly Republican state, voting in that year’s presidential election for John McCain by a margin of 13.2% at the same time that his Democratic opponent, Barack Obama, won the national popular vote by 7.2%. In fact, the six states with the lowest median income levels in 2008 – Mississippi, West Virginia, Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky – each voted for…

    

3. John F. Kennedy, then a forty-two-year-old senator from Massachusetts, announced his candidacy for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination on January 2, 1960. The next morning he appeared on NBC’sMeet the Press. What he met there may be better described as great skepticism.New York Timescolumnist James Reston, for one, seemed incredulous at the thought of this young man’s audacious quest against party stalwarts many years his senior (in age and political experience) to assume leadership of the free world. Forgoing a serious discussion of Kennedy’s candidacy, Reston used his first question to ask whether the senator would instead…

    

   On November 3, 2004 – in the afternoon following Election Day – President George W. Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, and their families, walked onto the stage of the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center in Washington, DC, to thunderous applause and chants of “Four more years!” from their supporters. This was the final Bush-Cheney campaign rally – it was their victory rally. Just ninety minutes earlier, Democratic Party nominee Senator John F. Kerry had conceded defeat in a speech delivered at Boston’s historic Faneuil Hall, ending his quest for the White House and confirming Bush’s reelection. President Bush,…

4.  

   When the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 1956, Adlai Stevenson, allowed Convention delegates to choose Senator Estes Kefauver of Tennessee as his running mate, it marked the end of an era. This was the last time, to date and probably forever, that a major party presidential candidate declined the opportunity to select a vice presidential candidate for his ticket. In the time since, Convention delegates have merely served to ratify this selection – as they ratify the presidential nomination itself – in what can only be described as a symbolic exercise of parliamentary procedure. Barring the extraordinary spectacle of…

    

   The 2014 midterm elections dealt Congressional Democrats a stinging defeat. Republicans gained control of the US Senate for the first time since 2007, and the GOP added thirteen seats to its majority in the US House of Representatives. In the days that followed the election, political commentators and news outlets speculated as to what the results would mean for the immediate future of national politics. How would President Obama govern as he entered the final two years of his presidency? What policies would a Republican-controlled Congress prioritize? And what did the 2014 elections mean for the 2016 presidential election? Just…

   People also search for:

   the vp advantage how running mates influence

   the vp of marketing gives you marketing research

   if the vp resigns what happens

   running mate vs vice president

   how are vp candidates selected

Tags:

Christopher Devine,Christopher Devine ,Kyle C Kopko,Advantage,Running