Business Planning for Turbulent Times New Methods for Applying Scenarios 1st Edition by Rafael Ramírez,John W Selsky,Kees van der Heijden ISBN 1844075672 978-1844075676

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ISBN 10: 1844075672 
ISBN 13: 978-1844075676
Author: Rafael Ramírez,John W. Selsky,Kees van der Heijden

The world is an increasingly turbulent and complex environment, awash with tipping points and knock-on effects ranging from the impact of warfare in the Middle East on energy futures, investment and global currencies to the vast and unpredictable impacts of climate change.

This book is for business and organizational leaders who feel the ever increasing turbulence of the environment and are interested in thinking through how to deal with related complexity and uncertainty. The authors explain in clear language how future orientation, and specifically modern scenario techniques, help to address increasing risk and lead to more confident and robust decisions. They draw on examples from a wide variety of settings and circumstances including the large corporations, inter-governmental organizations like the World Bank, small firms, municipalities and other communities.

Readers will be inspired to try out scenario approaches themselves to address the turbulence that affects them and others with whom they work, live and do business. A key feature of the book is the exchange of insights across the academic-practitioner divide. What has previously remained jargon only accessible to the highest level of corporate and government futures planners here becomes comprehensible to a wider business and practitioner community.

Table of contents:  

PART I

• CHAPTER 1: Introduction: Why Write This Book and for Whom?
• CHAPTER 2: Conceptual and Historical Overview
• CHAPTER 3: How Do Scenario Practices and Search Conferences Complement Each Other?
• CHAPTER 4: Reflecting on Scenario Practice: The Contribution of a Soft Systems Perspective
• CHAPTER 5: New Forms of Coherence for the Social Engagement of the Social Scientist: The Theory and Facilitation of Organizational Change from the Perspective of the Emery–Trist Systems Paradigm and the Ilya Prigogine School of Thought

PART II

• CHAPTER 6: Turbulence in the Indian Agricultural Sector: A Scenario Analysis
• CHAPTER 7: Swarm Planning: A New Design Paradigm Dealing with Long-Term Problems Associated with Turbulence
• CHAPTER 8: Designing More Effective Political Governance of Turbulent Fields: The Case of Healthcare
• CHAPTER 9: To What Extent Do Venezuela’s Causal Textures Allow Scenarios to Work towards Social Dialogue?

PART III

• CHAPTER 10: Managing Disruptive Change and Turbulence through Continuous Change Thinking and Scenarios
• CHAPTER 11: Scenarios that Provide Clarity in Addressing Turbulence
• CHAPTER 12: From Causal Textures to Predetermined Elements to New Realities in Scenario Thinking and Practice
• CHAPTER 13: Conceptions of Fairness and Forming the Common Ground
• CHAPTER 14: Turbulence and Corporate Social Responsibility: Is There a Role for Scenarios?

PART IV

• CHAPTER 15: Conclusion: The Conjuncture of Scenarios and Causal Textures – Contributions and Progress

Business Planning for Turbulent Times New Methods for Applying Scenarios

Business Planning for Turbulent Times New Methods for Applying Scenarios Rafael Ramírez

Business Planning for Turbulent Times New Methods for Applying Scenarios pdf

Business Planning for Turbulent Times New Methods for Applying Scenarios 1st Edition

 

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Rafael Ramírez,John W Selsky,Kees van der Heijden,Business,Planning,Turbulent Times,New Methods,Scenarios